The Harmattan could dry up cocoa
seedlings, a situation that portends poor production for the world's two
largest cocoa producers, Ivory Coast and Ghana.
"The
winds could dry up the young flowers on the cocoa trees and the flowers may
turn yellow and fall," said Antoine Koffi Kouassi, an independent
meteorologist who spoke to Bloomberg by phone from Abidjan.
"They
may have a negative impact on the fruiting period and hurt the mid-crop,"
he said, in reference to the smaller of two annual harvests that typically
starts around April in Ivory Coast, the world's biggest cocoa grower. The
francophone country accounts for almost 40 percent of global cocoa production.
Charles
York, the principal meteorologist at the Ghana Meteorological Agency also told
Bloomberg that the dry weather has been "very severe from the onset and
could abort budding cocoa pods."
The
winds bring dry and unseasonable cool weather to West Africa, with crops
including cocoa potentially being damaged as rains usually fall below average.
Cocoa prices, already up 17 percent this year, could gain a further boost from
Harmattan winds as production could be short of demand.
Cocoa,
already this year's best-performing commodity in the Standard & Poor's
index of 24 raw materials, rose 0.1 percent to $3,387 a metric ton on the ICE
Futures U.S. exchange by 8:43 a.m. in New York. The winds, which could knock
off flowers that develop into cocoa pods, will add to woes in Ghana, where
farmers harvested the smallest crop in five years in the 2014-15 season ended
in September.
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